Tag Archives: butterflypattern

Head and Shoulders Pattern With Fibonacci

Head and Shoulders Pattern With Fibonacci

I recently found this great post by morshedul.sazid on Trading View. I wanted to capture this here too for benefits of me and others. This simplifies and quantifies Head and Shoulders Pattern with Fibonacci ratios.

Head and Shoulders Pattern With Fibonacci
Head and Shoulders Pattern With Fibonacci
  1. First thing is to identify the Butterfly pattern: The first profit objective will be at 78.6 retracement of AD of the sell from butterfly
    B. 2nd sell will trigger at 50% retracement and the profit taking objective will be the touch of the neckline or break of it.
    C. 3rd sell can be triggered from the break of the neckline and the profit objective will be 1.272 of AD.
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EURAUD Gartley Pattern Butterfly Pattern ABCD Pattern 200SMA Short Forex Trading Idea

EURAUD Gartley Pattern Butterfly Pattern ABCD Pattern 200SMA Short Forex Trading Idea

Snapshot:

EURAUD Gartley Pattern Butterfly Pattern ABCD Pattern 200SMA Short Forex Trading Idea
EURAUD Gartley Pattern Butterfly Pattern ABCD Pattern 200SMA Short Forex Trading Idea

View it on TradingView

Reasons For Trade:

  1. Gartley Pattern completion in PRZ zone
  2. Butterfly Pattern Completion in zone
  3. ABCD Pattern completion
  4. Fibonacci confluence of 78.6 retracement and 127.2 extension of last retaracement
  5. 200sma in the zone
  6. Strong supply Area

Stop Placement:

Above supply zone

Targets:

as shown, there are 3 targets

  1. Structure based
  2. 38.2 Fib retracement from advanced pattern
  3. 61.8 FIB retracement from advanced pattern.

Trade Execution:

Wait for confirmation

  1. Take targets as you go along
  2. Tail stops on 3rd target as EUR can take a bearish rotation again to give large profits.

Concerns:

None

Planned News/Events Expected:

Week is packed with news

MonOct 26 5:00am EUR German Ifo Business Climate
TueOct 27 5:00am EUR M3 Money Supply y/y
8:30pm AUD CPI q/q
AUD Trimmed Mean CPI q/q
WedOct 28 8:30pm AUD Import Prices q/q
ThuOct 29 All Day EUR German Prelim CPI m/m
4:00am EUR Spanish Flash CPI y/y
4:55am EUR German Unemployment Change
8:30pm AUD PPI q/q
FriOct 30 3:00am EUR German Retail Sales m/m
4:00am EUR Spanish Flash GDP q/q
6:00am EUR CPI Flash Estimate y/y
EUR Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y
EUR Unemployment Rate

 

Post Execution Review:

Pending

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Leave a comment: I would love to hear your thoughts, suggestions on this topic. Please leave a comment.
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Disclaimer: This web site is just my financial trading log and is for educational purposes.
Please do your research, analysis and take your decisions. You must not rely on my actions or analysis.
Please see the Disclaimer page.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USDCAD Bat Pattern Butterfly Pattern Fibonacci Retracement Confluence Flat Candle Long Forex Trading Position

USDCAD Bat Pattern Butterfly Pattern Fibonacci Retracement Confluence Flat Candle Long Forex Trading Position

Snapshot:

USDCAD Bat Pattern Butterfly Pattern Fibonacci Retracement Confluence Flat Candle Long Forex Trading Position
USDCAD Bat Pattern Butterfly Pattern Fibonacci Retracement Confluence Flat Candle Long Forex Trading Position

Reasons For Trade:

  1. Fibonacci confluence of 78.6 of overall impulse leg, 61.8 of another impulse leg, 161.8 fib extension of recent retracement.
  2. Flat candle in zone suggesting new orders started from there which has fibonacci confluence with 88.6 Fibonacci retracement level and Fibonacci extension of recent retracement. This makes an area very string due to bat pattern formation.
  3. Level on Level demand area. So we will have to combine.
  4. This impulse leg has string ERC candles which broke previous structure.
  5. Due to 161.8 extension of recent retracement this zone also has completion of Butterfly Pattern too which coincides with flat candle and bat pattern completion on the same point.

Stop Placement:

Below flat candle

Targets:

First: 38.2 fibonacci retracement
Second: 61.8 fibonacci retracement

Trade Execution:

  1. Wait for confirmation in the zone.
  2. As there are 2 fibonacci confluence levels creating level on level demand zone take multiple positions using zoning technique.

Concerns:

None

Planned News/Events Expected:

Whole next week is packed with USD CAD  news

MonOct 26 10:00am USD New Home Sales 468K 546K 529K
TueOct 27 8:30am USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m -0.4% 0.0% -0.2%
USD Durable Goods Orders m/m -1.2% -1.1% -2.3%
10:00am USD CB Consumer Confidence 97.6 102.5 102.6
11:20am CAD Gov Council Member Lane Speaks
WedOct 28 8:30am USD Goods Trade Balance -58.6B -64.9B -67.2B
10:30am USD Crude Oil Inventories 3.4M 3.7M 8.0M
2:00pm USD FOMC Statement
USD Federal Funds Rate <0.25% <0.25% <0.25%
ThuOct 29 8:30am CAD RMPI m/m 3.0% 1.2% -6.8%
USD Advance GDP q/q 1.5% 1.6% 3.9%
USD Unemployment Claims 260K 264K 259K
USD Advance GDP Price Index q/q 1.2% 1.5% 2.1%
9:10am USD FOMC Member Lockhart Speaks
10:00am USD Pending Home Sales m/m -2.3% 1.1% -1.4%
FriOct 30  8:30am CAD GDP m/m 0.1% 0.3%
USD Employment Cost Index q/q 0.6% 0.2%
USD Core PCE Price Index m/m 0.2% 0.1%
USD Personal Spending m/m 0.2% 0.4%
9:45am USD Chicago PMI 49.5 48.7
10:00am USD FOMC Member Williams Speaks
USD Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 92.6 92.1

 

Post Execution Review:

Pending

View it on TradingView

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Leave a comment: I would love to hear your thoughts, suggestions on this topic. Please leave a comment.
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Disclaimer: This web site is just my financial trading log and is for educational purposes.
Please do your research, analysis and take your decisions. You must not rely on my actions or analysis.
Please see the Disclaimer page.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

How To Trade Forex Harmonic Patterns

Trade Forex Harmonic Patterns

AB=CD (50.0)

  1. C point retraces less than 50.0 of AB, CD will be equal to AB
  2. Do not trade an AB=CD pattern with less than 38.2 retracement
  3. Always use Double Top with divergence for entry.
  4. Target 1: 38.2 of AD leg, Target 2: 61.8 of AD leg

ABCD (Alternative ABCD) (50.0, 127.0, 1.414, 1.618.0)

  1. C point retraces more than 50 of AB, CD will be 1.27AB or 1.414AB or 1.618 AB
  2. Always use Double Top with divergence for entry.
  3. Target 1: 38.2 of AD leg, Target 2: 61.8 of AD leg

abcd

Gartley (61.8 XA, 61.8 AB, 127.2 AB) – (60-70% Profit Making Pattern)

  1. B must touch at least 61.8 of XA but must not touch (wick) or close beyond 6 of XA
  2. C touches at least 61.8 of AB but its wick cannot go beyond point A
  3. D point will be at 127.2 of AB in confluence with 78.6 of XA. 127.2 AB extension is more important.
  4. PRZ between 127.2 AB extension and point X
  5. Must have at least valid ABCD pattern
  6. Stop is 2 ATR below X
  7. Target 1: 38.2 of AD leg, Target 2: 61.8 of AD leg

gartley

Butterfly (78.6 XA, 38.2 AB, 127.2 AB) – (Low Profit Making Pattern)

  1. B retraces to at least 78.6 of XA but must not touch (wick) or close beyond 6 of XA
  2. C retraces to at least 38.2 of AB but its wick cannot go beyond point A
  3. D point will be at 127.2 of AB. D point must pass point X
  4. PRZ between 1.27 AB and 1.618 AB
  5. Stop is 2 ATR below previous structure, look left on the chart
  6. Target 1: 38.2 of AD leg, Target 2: 61.8 of AD leg

butterfly

Bat (50.0 XA, 61.8 AB, 161.8 AB) – (80% Profit Making Pattern)

  1. B touches at least 50.0 of XA but must not touch (wick) or close beyond 8 of XA
  2. C retraces to at least 61.8 of AB but its wick cannot go beyond point A
  3. D point will be at 161.8 of AB, 0.886 of XA
  4. Stop is 2 ATR below X
  5. Target 1: 38.2 of AD leg, Target 2: 61.8 of AD leg

bat pattern

Cypher (38.2 XA, 127.2 XA, 78.6 XC) – (80% Profit Making Pattern)

  1. B retraces to at least 38.2 of XA but must NOT close beyond 8 of XA
  2. C is at 111.3 of XA in the XA direction (must close above A), must not close above 1.414
  3. D must touch 78.6 of XC
  4. Stop is 2 ATR below X
  5. Target 1: 38.2 of AD leg, Target 2: 61.8 of AD leg

cypher pattern

 

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Leave a comment: I would love to hear your thoughts, suggestions on this topic. Please leave a comment.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer: This web site is just my financial trading log and is for educational purposes.
Please do your research, analysis and take your decisions. You must not rely on my actions or analysis.
Please see the Disclaimer page.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

$USDJPY – #USDJPY Daily Butterfly Pattern Short Idea –

$USDJPY – #USDJPY Daily Butterfly Pattern Short Idea –.


#USDJPY Daily Butterfly Pattern Short Idea by TradeYodha on TradingView.com

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Leave a comment: I would love to hear your thoughts, suggestions on this topic. Please leave a comment.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer: This web site is just my financial trading log and is for educational purposes.
Please do your research, analysis and take your decisions. You must not rely on my actions or analysis.
Please see the Disclaimer page.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------