USDCAD Bat Pattern Butterfly Pattern Fibonacci Retracement Confluence Flat Candle Long Forex Trading Position

USDCAD Bat Pattern Butterfly Pattern Fibonacci Retracement Confluence Flat Candle Long Forex Trading Position

Snapshot:

USDCAD Bat Pattern Butterfly Pattern Fibonacci Retracement Confluence Flat Candle Long Forex Trading Position
USDCAD Bat Pattern Butterfly Pattern Fibonacci Retracement Confluence Flat Candle Long Forex Trading Position

Reasons For Trade:

  1. Fibonacci confluence of 78.6 of overall impulse leg, 61.8 of another impulse leg, 161.8 fib extension of recent retracement.
  2. Flat candle in zone suggesting new orders started from there which has fibonacci confluence with 88.6 Fibonacci retracement level and Fibonacci extension of recent retracement. This makes an area very string due to bat pattern formation.
  3. Level on Level demand area. So we will have to combine.
  4. This impulse leg has string ERC candles which broke previous structure.
  5. Due to 161.8 extension of recent retracement this zone also has completion of Butterfly Pattern too which coincides with flat candle and bat pattern completion on the same point.

Stop Placement:

Below flat candle

Targets:

First: 38.2 fibonacci retracement
Second: 61.8 fibonacci retracement

Trade Execution:

  1. Wait for confirmation in the zone.
  2. As there are 2 fibonacci confluence levels creating level on level demand zone take multiple positions using zoning technique.

Concerns:

None

Planned News/Events Expected:

Whole next week is packed with USD CAD  news

MonOct 26 10:00am USD New Home Sales 468K 546K 529K
TueOct 27 8:30am USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m -0.4% 0.0% -0.2%
USD Durable Goods Orders m/m -1.2% -1.1% -2.3%
10:00am USD CB Consumer Confidence 97.6 102.5 102.6
11:20am CAD Gov Council Member Lane Speaks
WedOct 28 8:30am USD Goods Trade Balance -58.6B -64.9B -67.2B
10:30am USD Crude Oil Inventories 3.4M 3.7M 8.0M
2:00pm USD FOMC Statement
USD Federal Funds Rate <0.25% <0.25% <0.25%
ThuOct 29 8:30am CAD RMPI m/m 3.0% 1.2% -6.8%
USD Advance GDP q/q 1.5% 1.6% 3.9%
USD Unemployment Claims 260K 264K 259K
USD Advance GDP Price Index q/q 1.2% 1.5% 2.1%
9:10am USD FOMC Member Lockhart Speaks
10:00am USD Pending Home Sales m/m -2.3% 1.1% -1.4%
FriOct 30  8:30am CAD GDP m/m 0.1% 0.3%
USD Employment Cost Index q/q 0.6% 0.2%
USD Core PCE Price Index m/m 0.2% 0.1%
USD Personal Spending m/m 0.2% 0.4%
9:45am USD Chicago PMI 49.5 48.7
10:00am USD FOMC Member Williams Speaks
USD Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 92.6 92.1

 

Post Execution Review:

Pending

View it on TradingView

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